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Red105
446932.5
357437.9
255519.9
Blue48
568319.2
574821.0
558818.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8752010015010548

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.90.3
36.036.3
Auto0.1
Teleop37.9
End0.0
red by 17.0
21.00.2
21.120.9
Auto0.3
Teleop20.7
End0.0
Second
32.50.3
30.630.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop32.6
End0.0
red by 13.3
5683
#16
19.20.2
19.419.2
Auto0.2
Teleop19.0
End0.0
Third
2555
#18
19.90.3
18.018.3
Auto0.6
Teleop19.3
End0.0
red by 1.4
5588
#13
18.50.2
18.618.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop18.9
End0.0