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Red114
36034.0
252251.4
430415.9
Blue103
125820.2
292922.4
322122.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101520150200114103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.40.3
49.850.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop51.6
End0.0
red by 28.9
3221
#15
22.50.7
21.322.0
Auto0.7
Teleop21.8
End0.0
Second
360
#3
34.00.3
32.532.7
Auto0.1
Teleop33.9
End0.0
red by 11.5
22.40.7
21.322.0
Auto0.5
Teleop22.0
End0.0
Third
4304
#21
15.90.3
14.414.7
Auto0.3
Teleop15.6
End0.0
blue by 4.3
1258
#12
20.20.7
19.019.7
Auto0.1
Teleop20.1
End0.0