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Red55
142523.3
94839.1
378116.6
Blue67
125820.2
292922.4
322122.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions815401001505567

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
948
#2
39.10.3
39.439.0
Auto9.2
Teleop29.8
End0.0
red by 16.6
3221
#15
22.50.1
20.820.9
Auto0.7
Teleop21.8
End0.0
Second
1425
#14
23.30.3
23.623.3
Auto0.1
Teleop23.2
End0.0
red by 0.8
22.40.1
20.720.8
Auto0.5
Teleop22.0
End0.0
Third
3781
#17
16.60.3
16.916.6
Auto0.1
Teleop16.5
End0.0
blue by 3.6
1258
#12
20.20.1
18.518.6
Auto0.1
Teleop20.1
End0.0