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Red89
446932.5
357437.9
255519.9
Blue65
125820.2
292922.4
322122.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions875701001508965

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.90.1
36.436.4
Auto0.1
Teleop37.9
End0.0
red by 15.5
3221
#15
22.50.0
22.022.0
Auto0.7
Teleop21.8
End0.0
Second
32.50.1
30.931.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop32.6
End0.0
red by 10.1
22.40.0
22.022.0
Auto0.5
Teleop22.0
End0.0
Third
2555
#18
19.90.1
18.318.4
Auto0.6
Teleop19.3
End0.0
blue by 0.3
1258
#12
20.20.0
19.719.7
Auto0.1
Teleop20.1
End0.0