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Red44
491124.7
366327.1
472612.3
Blue56
204623.9
290727.3
322117.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63622040801001204456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.10.4
27.427.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop27.1
End0.0
blue by 0.2
27.30.1
26.025.9
Auto0.1
Teleop27.1
End0.0
Second
24.70.4
25.024.7
Auto0.0
Teleop24.6
End0.0
red by 0.8
2046
#10
23.90.1
22.622.5
Auto0.1
Teleop23.7
End0.0
Third
4726
#23
12.30.4
12.712.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.4
End0.0
blue by 4.7
3221
#18
17.00.1
15.815.6
Auto0.5
Teleop16.5
End0.0