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Red91
446922.7
260525.3
241215.4
Blue103
204623.9
290727.3
322117.0
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5865020408010012014016091103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.30.6
24.725.3
Auto0.0
Teleop25.2
End0.0
blue by 2.0
27.30.6
26.727.3
Auto0.1
Teleop27.1
End0.0
Second
4469
#11
22.70.6
22.122.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.7
End0.0
blue by 1.2
2046
#10
23.90.6
23.323.9
Auto0.1
Teleop23.7
End0.0
Third
2412
#29
15.40.6
14.815.4
Auto0.3
Teleop15.1
End0.0
blue by 1.6
3221
#18
17.00.6
16.517.1
Auto0.5
Teleop16.5
End0.0