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Red0
491124.7
204623.9
241215.4
Blue24
129419.3
446922.7
339329.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57430100150024

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.74.2
23.018.8
Auto0.0
Teleop24.6
End0.0
blue by 5.1
29.81.9
20.518.6
Auto0.1
Teleop29.8
End0.0
Second
2046
#10
23.94.2
18.714.5
Auto0.1
Teleop23.7
End0.0
red by 1.2
4469
#11
22.71.9
12.210.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Third
2412
#29
15.44.2
14.910.7
Auto0.3
Teleop15.1
End0.0
blue by 3.9
1294
#14
19.31.9
14.212.3
Auto0.7
Teleop18.5
End0.0