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Red10
131829.4
323717.9
378113.8
Blue24
260525.3
366327.1
36019.2
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374802060801001201401601024

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.42.5
22.319.7
Auto0.4
Teleop29.0
End0.0
red by 2.4
27.12.0
18.116.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop27.1
End0.0
Second
3237
#13
17.92.5
7.65.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.0
End0.0
blue by 7.4
25.32.0
12.911.0
Auto0.0
Teleop25.2
End0.0
Third
3781
#19
13.82.5
10.37.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.8
End0.0
blue by 5.4
360
#16
19.22.0
16.814.8
Auto0.3
Teleop18.9
End0.0