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Red1
290727.3
52956.7
36847.6
Blue20
358819.9
457912.8
292913.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38420206080100120140160120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.32.7
22.720.0
Auto0.1
Teleop27.1
End0.0
red by 7.3
3588
#15
19.91.9
16.314.4
Auto0.3
Teleop19.7
End0.0
Second
3684
#31
7.62.7
10.27.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.6
End0.0
blue by 5.7
2929
#25
13.31.9
12.510.7
Auto0.0
Teleop13.3
End0.0
Third
5295
#30
6.72.7
6.74.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.7
End0.0
blue by 6.1
4579
#24
12.81.9
13.611.7
Auto0.5
Teleop12.4
End0.0