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Red34
322013.3
445024.0
472612.3
Blue30
321822.9
413110.2
322117.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3823060801001201401603430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.00.2
16.616.3
Auto0.2
Teleop23.8
End0.0
red by 1.1
22.90.3
8.38.6
Auto0.0
Teleop22.8
End0.0
Second
3220
#21
13.30.2
10.410.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.4
End0.0
blue by 3.7
3221
#18
17.00.3
8.68.9
Auto0.5
Teleop16.5
End0.0
Third
4726
#23
12.30.2
9.69.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.4
End0.0
red by 2.1
4131
#28
10.20.3
9.09.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.2
End0.0