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Red17
472612.3
322117.0
297617.6
Blue18
36019.2
491124.7
36847.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2639060801001201401601718

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2976
#17
17.61.0
11.210.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.6
End0.0
blue by 7.1
24.71.7
18.817.0
Auto0.0
Teleop24.6
End0.0
Second
3221
#18
17.01.0
8.97.9
Auto0.5
Teleop16.5
End0.0
blue by 2.2
360
#16
19.21.7
14.813.1
Auto0.3
Teleop18.9
End0.0
Third
4726
#23
12.31.0
9.48.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.4
End0.0
red by 4.7
3684
#31
7.61.7
5.13.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.6
End0.0