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Red13
378113.8
322013.3
358610.3
Blue22
304911.9
129419.3
290615.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25240102030405060701322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3781
#19
13.81.1
7.86.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.8
End0.0
blue by 5.5
1294
#14
19.30.3
12.312.0
Auto0.7
Teleop18.5
End0.0
Second
3220
#21
13.31.1
10.29.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.4
End0.0
blue by 1.9
2906
#20
15.30.3
7.87.5
Auto0.1
Teleop15.1
End0.0
Third
3586
#26
10.31.1
7.66.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 1.5
3049
#27
11.90.3
5.75.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.0
End0.0