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Red28
292913.3
241215.4
322314.0
Blue10
36847.6
255720.5
297617.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274002060801001201401602810

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2412
#29
15.40.3
10.711.0
Auto0.3
Teleop15.1
End0.0
blue by 5.1
2557
#12
20.52.4
17.915.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.5
End0.0
Second
3223
#22
14.00.3
8.79.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.1
End0.0
blue by 3.6
2976
#17
17.62.4
13.611.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.6
End0.0
Third
2929
#25
13.30.3
10.711.0
Auto0.0
Teleop13.3
End0.0
red by 5.7
3684
#31
7.62.4
7.55.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.6
End0.0