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Red106
358610.3
339329.8
491124.7
Blue63
445024.0
413110.2
297617.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56450208010012014016010663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.83.6
27.130.7
Auto0.1
Teleop29.8
End0.0
red by 5.8
24.01.1
20.021.1
Auto0.2
Teleop23.8
End0.0
Second
24.73.6
19.122.7
Auto0.0
Teleop24.6
End0.0
red by 7.1
2976
#17
17.61.1
19.420.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.6
End0.0
Third
3586
#26
10.33.6
10.013.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.4
End0.0
red by 0.1
4131
#28
10.21.1
8.79.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.2
End0.0