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Red91
366327.1
241215.4
129419.3
Blue70
321822.9
290727.3
322314.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465801001509170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.13.8
25.929.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop27.1
End0.0
blue by 0.2
27.30.9
22.022.8
Auto0.1
Teleop27.1
End0.0
Second
1294
#14
19.33.8
13.917.7
Auto0.7
Teleop18.5
End0.0
blue by 3.6
22.90.9
20.921.8
Auto0.0
Teleop22.8
End0.0
Third
2412
#29
15.43.8
10.013.8
Auto0.3
Teleop15.1
End0.0
red by 1.3
3223
#22
14.00.9
15.216.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.1
End0.0