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Red30
131829.4
322314.0
322013.3
Blue65
29276.7
204623.9
366327.1
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions546102040801001201401603065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.41.8
26.624.8
Auto0.4
Teleop29.0
End0.0
red by 2.4
27.10.2
29.730.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop27.1
End0.0
Second
3223
#22
14.01.8
16.114.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.1
End0.0
blue by 9.8
2046
#10
23.90.2
24.524.7
Auto0.1
Teleop23.7
End0.0
Third
3220
#21
13.31.8
14.412.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.4
End0.0
red by 6.6
2927
#32
6.70.2
7.67.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.7
End0.0