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Red101
198342.0
290615.3
290727.3
Blue80
339329.8
260525.3
472612.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions695905010015010180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.02.1
34.336.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop42.0
End0.0
red by 12.1
29.81.1
30.731.8
Auto0.1
Teleop29.8
End0.0
Second
27.32.1
22.824.9
Auto0.1
Teleop27.1
End0.0
red by 2.0
25.31.1
20.321.5
Auto0.0
Teleop25.2
End0.0
Third
2906
#20
15.32.1
12.814.9
Auto0.1
Teleop15.1
End0.0
red by 3.0
4726
#23
12.31.1
12.213.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.4
End0.0