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Red48
290615.3
321822.9
204623.9
Blue56
260525.3
52956.7
255720.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6347020801001201401604856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2046
#10
23.90.9
24.723.8
Auto0.1
Teleop23.7
End0.0
blue by 1.4
25.30.3
21.521.8
Auto0.0
Teleop25.2
End0.0
Second
22.90.9
22.721.8
Auto0.0
Teleop22.8
End0.0
red by 2.4
2557
#12
20.50.3
21.321.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.5
End0.0
Third
2906
#20
15.30.9
14.914.0
Auto0.1
Teleop15.1
End0.0
red by 8.6
5295
#30
6.70.3
8.18.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.7
End0.0