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Red34
129419.3
36847.6
322013.3
Blue98
131829.4
198342.0
457912.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32780501001503498

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1294
#14
19.30.4
18.818.4
Auto0.7
Teleop18.5
End0.0
blue by 22.7
42.01.5
36.437.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop42.0
End0.0
Second
3220
#21
13.30.4
12.612.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.4
End0.0
blue by 16.1
29.41.5
24.826.2
Auto0.4
Teleop29.0
End0.0
Third
3684
#31
7.60.4
9.28.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.6
End0.0
blue by 5.2
4579
#24
12.81.5
12.814.3
Auto0.5
Teleop12.4
End0.0