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Red48
446922.7
36019.2
29276.7
Blue43
290727.3
292913.3
413110.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464902060801001201401604843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4469
#11
22.70.0
22.122.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.7
End0.0
blue by 4.6
27.30.5
24.924.4
Auto0.1
Teleop27.1
End0.0
Second
360
#16
19.20.0
18.118.1
Auto0.3
Teleop18.9
End0.0
red by 5.9
2929
#25
13.30.5
13.413.0
Auto0.0
Teleop13.3
End0.0
Third
2927
#32
6.70.0
7.87.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.7
End0.0
blue by 3.5
4131
#28
10.20.5
12.111.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.2
End0.0