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Red45
339329.8
304911.9
297617.6
Blue10
322117.0
323717.9
241215.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions604701001504510

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.80.9
31.830.9
Auto0.1
Teleop29.8
End0.0
red by 11.9
3237
#13
17.91.4
18.917.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Second
2976
#17
17.60.9
19.718.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.6
End0.0
red by 0.6
3221
#18
17.01.4
15.614.2
Auto0.5
Teleop16.5
End0.0
Third
3049
#27
11.90.9
8.27.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.0
End0.0
blue by 3.5
2412
#29
15.41.4
16.214.8
Auto0.3
Teleop15.1
End0.0