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Red63
511125.2
159540.5
412518.9
Blue69
451322.9
460825.2
378914.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7558020401001201401606369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.50.2
37.537.2
Auto0.2
Teleop40.2
End0.0
red by 15.3
25.20.1
25.125.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop25.2
End0.0
Second
5111
#21
25.20.2
22.222.0
Auto0.6
Teleop24.5
End0.0
red by 2.3
4513
#19
22.90.1
22.923.0
Auto0.5
Teleop22.4
End0.0
Third
4125
#27
18.90.2
15.915.7
Auto0.3
Teleop18.6
End0.0
red by 4.0
3789
#29
14.90.1
14.814.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.0
End0.0