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Red70
358833.2
293044.1
292316.8
Blue92
294422.9
323838.3
508511.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98630501502007092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.10.4
44.644.2
Auto0.7
Teleop43.4
End0.0
red by 5.8
3238
#10
38.30.4
37.437.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop38.5
End0.0
Second
33.20.4
33.833.3
Auto0.5
Teleop32.7
End0.0
red by 10.3
2944
#11
22.90.4
22.022.4
Auto0.0
Teleop22.9
End0.0
Third
2923
#15
16.80.4
17.316.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.0
End0.0
red by 5.0
5085
#33
11.70.4
10.911.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.8
End0.0