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Red90
294422.9
323838.3
508511.7
Blue102
511125.2
159540.5
412518.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions677705010015020025030090102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3238
#10
38.30.4
37.838.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop38.5
End0.0
blue by 2.2
40.50.4
38.538.9
Auto0.2
Teleop40.2
End0.0
Second
2944
#11
22.90.4
22.422.8
Auto0.0
Teleop22.9
End0.0
blue by 2.3
5111
#21
25.20.4
23.223.6
Auto0.6
Teleop24.5
End0.0
Third
5085
#33
11.70.4
11.211.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.8
End0.0
blue by 7.1
4125
#27
18.90.4
16.917.3
Auto0.3
Teleop18.6
End0.0