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Red102
371134.6
445037.9
430918.7
Blue59
451322.9
460825.2
378914.9
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9255010015010259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.90.2
37.237.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop38.0
End0.0
red by 12.7
25.20.1
25.225.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop25.2
End0.0
Second
34.60.2
34.034.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop34.7
End0.0
red by 11.7
4513
#19
22.90.1
23.022.9
Auto0.5
Teleop22.4
End0.0
Third
4309
#22
18.70.2
18.018.2
Auto0.8
Teleop17.9
End0.0
red by 3.8
3789
#29
14.90.1
14.914.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.0
End0.0