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Red121
511125.2
159540.5
412518.9
Blue100
371134.6
445037.9
430918.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7590050150200250121100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.50.7
38.939.5
Auto0.2
Teleop40.2
End0.0
red by 2.6
37.90.2
37.737.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop38.0
End0.0
Second
5111
#21
25.20.7
23.624.3
Auto0.6
Teleop24.5
End0.0
blue by 9.4
34.60.2
34.534.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop34.7
End0.0
Third
4125
#27
18.90.7
17.318.0
Auto0.3
Teleop18.6
End0.0
red by 0.2
4309
#22
18.70.2
18.518.7
Auto0.8
Teleop17.9
End0.0