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Red118
511125.2
159540.5
412518.9
Blue65
381226.1
214930.5
449511.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions746420408010012014011865

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.50.7
37.238.0
Auto0.2
Teleop40.2
End0.0
red by 10.0
30.50.0
30.530.5
Auto0.8
Teleop29.7
End0.0
Second
5111
#21
25.20.7
22.022.7
Auto0.6
Teleop24.5
End0.0
blue by 0.9
3812
#12
26.10.0
26.126.1
Auto0.1
Teleop26.0
End0.0
Third
4125
#27
18.90.7
15.716.4
Auto0.3
Teleop18.6
End0.0
red by 7.8
4495
#28
11.10.0
11.211.1
Auto0.2
Teleop10.9
End0.0