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Red157
406138.3
448874.2
577918.1
Blue78
294422.9
323838.3
508511.7
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13658010015020025015778

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.20.5
73.774.2
Auto0.3
Teleop73.8
End0.0
red by 35.9
3238
#10
38.30.1
38.238.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop38.5
End0.0
Second
38.30.5
37.938.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop38.4
End0.0
red by 15.5
2944
#11
22.90.1
22.822.9
Auto0.0
Teleop22.9
End0.0
Third
5779
#23
18.10.5
17.618.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.2
End0.0
red by 6.3
5085
#33
11.70.1
11.711.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.8
End0.0