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Red36
369317.7
294422.9
214813.7
Blue95
412518.9
460825.2
358833.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284002060801001201401603695

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2944
#11
22.90.3
9.59.8
Auto0.0
Teleop22.9
End0.0
blue by 10.3
33.22.8
19.922.7
Auto0.5
Teleop32.7
End0.0
Second
3693
#25
17.70.3
18.018.3
Auto0.2
Teleop17.4
End0.0
blue by 7.5
25.22.8
10.213.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop25.2
End0.0
Third
2148
#17
13.70.3
2.93.2
Auto1.0
Teleop12.7
End0.0
blue by 5.2
4125
#27
18.92.8
9.312.1
Auto0.3
Teleop18.6
End0.0