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Red11
378914.9
508511.7
410411.8
Blue64
472619.3
445037.9
430918.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2455040801001201401601164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3789
#29
14.90.9
13.312.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.0
End0.0
blue by 23.0
37.90.6
24.024.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop38.0
End0.0
Second
4104
#26
11.80.9
2.81.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 7.5
4726
#16
19.30.6
12.312.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.5
End0.0
Third
5085
#33
11.71.6
13.812.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.8
End0.0
blue by 6.9
4309
#22
18.70.6
15.816.4
Auto0.8
Teleop17.9
End0.0