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Red78
357512.4
406138.3
381226.1
Blue42
511125.2
323838.3
577918.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40710501001502007842

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.31.6
18.820.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop38.4
End0.0
Level
3238
#10
38.31.4
35.233.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop38.5
End0.0
Second
3812
#12
26.11.6
17.719.3
Auto0.1
Teleop26.0
End0.0
red by 0.9
5111
#21
25.21.4
20.919.5
Auto0.6
Teleop24.5
End0.0
Third
3575
#32
12.41.6
10.111.6
Auto0.2
Teleop12.2
End0.0
blue by 5.7
5779
#23
18.11.4
13.011.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.2
End0.0