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Red21
357512.4
214721.2
387620.2
Blue74
472619.3
293044.1
322317.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455901001502002174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2147
#18
21.21.4
20.519.1
Auto0.0
Teleop21.2
End0.0
blue by 22.9
44.10.8
29.730.5
Auto0.7
Teleop43.4
End0.0
Second
3876
#14
20.21.4
16.515.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.3
End0.0
red by 0.9
4726
#16
19.30.8
12.913.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.5
End0.0
Third
3575
#32
12.41.4
11.610.3
Auto0.2
Teleop12.2
End0.0
blue by 4.9
3223
#20
17.30.8
15.916.7
Auto0.1
Teleop17.2
End0.0