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Red69
371134.6
577918.1
378914.9
Blue73
214930.5
449511.1
292316.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions503802060801001206973

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.60.9
26.027.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop34.7
End0.0
red by 4.1
30.51.9
17.219.1
Auto0.8
Teleop29.7
End0.0
Second
5779
#23
18.10.9
11.712.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.2
End0.0
red by 1.3
2923
#15
16.81.9
15.016.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Third
3789
#29
14.90.9
12.313.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.0
End0.0
red by 3.8
4495
#28
11.11.9
8.710.6
Auto0.2
Teleop10.9
End0.0