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Red37
408220.9
412518.9
472619.3
Blue25
357512.4
291018.8
460825.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38370102030506070803725

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4082
#13
20.90.2
12.312.6
Auto0.6
Teleop20.3
End0.0
blue by 4.3
25.20.5
14.514.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop25.2
End0.0
Second
4726
#16
19.30.2
13.713.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.5
End0.0
red by 0.5
2910
#24
18.80.5
15.415.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.2
End0.0
Third
4125
#27
18.90.2
12.512.7
Auto0.3
Teleop18.6
End0.0
red by 6.5
3575
#32
12.40.5
10.39.8
Auto0.2
Teleop12.2
End0.0