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Red26
412011.7
445037.9
214813.7
Blue61
294422.9
511125.2
378914.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4342102030506070802661

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.90.9
24.523.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop38.0
End0.0
red by 12.7
5111
#21
25.20.8
21.021.8
Auto0.6
Teleop24.5
End0.0
Second
2148
#17
13.70.9
4.63.8
Auto1.0
Teleop12.7
End0.0
blue by 9.2
2944
#11
22.90.8
10.211.1
Auto0.0
Teleop22.9
End0.0
Third
4120
#31
11.70.9
14.113.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 3.2
3789
#29
14.90.8
13.314.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.0
End0.0