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Red115
406138.3
293044.1
292316.8
Blue53
369317.7
451322.9
449511.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75450206010012014011553

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.12.1
31.833.9
Auto0.7
Teleop43.4
End0.0
red by 21.2
4513
#19
22.90.1
21.821.8
Auto0.5
Teleop22.4
End0.0
Second
38.32.1
22.724.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop38.4
End0.0
red by 20.7
3693
#25
17.70.1
17.918.0
Auto0.2
Teleop17.4
End0.0
Third
2923
#15
16.82.1
18.420.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.0
End0.0
red by 5.7
4495
#28
11.10.1
11.811.9
Auto0.2
Teleop10.9
End0.0