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Red90
294422.9
323838.3
430918.7
Blue106
387620.2
159540.5
577918.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions655720408010012090106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3238
#10
38.31.2
38.339.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop38.5
End0.0
blue by 2.2
40.52.3
28.030.3
Auto0.2
Teleop40.2
End0.0
Second
2944
#11
22.91.2
10.812.0
Auto0.0
Teleop22.9
End0.0
red by 2.7
3876
#14
20.22.3
16.018.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.3
End0.0
Third
4309
#22
18.71.2
16.718.0
Auto0.8
Teleop17.9
End0.0
red by 0.6
5779
#23
18.12.3
16.018.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.2
End0.0