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Red22
37129.2
357512.4
472619.3
Blue40
449511.1
410411.8
371134.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275101001502240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4726
#16
19.30.5
17.216.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.5
End0.0
blue by 15.3
34.60.4
31.631.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop34.7
End0.0
Second
3575
#32
12.40.5
9.59.0
Auto0.2
Teleop12.2
End0.0
red by 0.6
4104
#26
11.80.4
5.45.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.9
End0.0
Third
3712
#30
9.20.5
5.04.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.3
End0.0
blue by 1.9
4495
#28
11.10.4
11.911.4
Auto0.2
Teleop10.9
End0.0