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Red20
381226.1
214721.2
412011.7
Blue18
508511.7
291018.8
408220.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5248204060801002018

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3812
#12
26.11.4
21.219.9
Auto0.1
Teleop26.0
End0.0
red by 5.2
4082
#13
20.91.3
14.212.9
Auto0.6
Teleop20.3
End0.0
Second
2147
#18
21.21.4
19.017.6
Auto0.0
Teleop21.2
End0.0
red by 2.3
2910
#24
18.81.3
15.213.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.2
End0.0
Third
4120
#31
11.71.4
12.911.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 0.1
5085
#33
11.72.2
20.818.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.8
End0.0