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Red81
445037.9
292316.8
412518.9
Blue45
412011.7
371134.6
322317.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions556201001502002503003508145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.91.1
26.727.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop38.0
End0.0
red by 3.2
34.60.9
31.130.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop34.7
End0.0
Second
4125
#27
18.91.1
13.414.6
Auto0.3
Teleop18.6
End0.0
red by 1.5
3223
#20
17.30.9
20.919.9
Auto0.1
Teleop17.2
End0.0
Third
2923
#15
16.81.1
18.219.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.0
End0.0
red by 5.1
4120
#31
11.70.9
11.610.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.9
End0.0