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Red89
378914.9
323838.3
291018.8
Blue131
293044.1
369317.7
408220.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6268010015020025030089131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3238
#10
38.31.2
39.540.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop38.5
End0.0
blue by 5.8
44.13.1
35.838.9
Auto0.7
Teleop43.4
End0.0
Second
2910
#24
18.81.2
13.915.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.2
End0.0
blue by 2.0
4082
#13
20.93.1
12.916.0
Auto0.6
Teleop20.3
End0.0
Third
3789
#29
14.91.2
11.512.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.0
End0.0
blue by 2.8
3693
#25
17.73.1
20.723.7
Auto0.2
Teleop17.4
End0.0