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Red124
448874.2
449511.1
159540.5
Blue37
387620.2
508511.7
460825.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10644015020012437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.21.2
58.559.7
Auto0.3
Teleop73.8
End0.0
red by 49.0
25.20.9
18.617.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop25.2
End0.0
Second
40.51.2
30.331.5
Auto0.2
Teleop40.2
End0.0
red by 20.3
3876
#14
20.20.9
18.317.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.3
End0.0
Third
4495
#28
11.11.2
11.412.6
Auto0.2
Teleop10.9
End0.0
blue by 0.6
5085
#33
11.71.5
18.617.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.8
End0.0