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Red60
406138.3
511125.2
37129.2
Blue19
357512.4
451322.9
577918.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5447204060801006019

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.30.2
27.527.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop38.4
End0.0
red by 15.4
4513
#19
22.91.5
22.721.1
Auto0.5
Teleop22.4
End0.0
Second
5111
#21
25.20.2
23.123.3
Auto0.6
Teleop24.5
End0.0
red by 7.1
5779
#23
18.11.5
18.316.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.2
End0.0
Third
3712
#30
9.20.2
4.54.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.3
End0.0
blue by 3.2
3575
#32
12.41.5
9.07.5
Auto0.2
Teleop12.2
End0.0