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Red137
214930.5
294422.9
358833.2
Blue87
410411.8
381226.1
430918.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61380208010012014013787

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.23.9
24.328.2
Auto0.5
Teleop32.7
End0.0
red by 7.1
3812
#12
26.12.2
19.922.1
Auto0.1
Teleop26.0
End0.0
Second
30.53.9
23.026.9
Auto0.8
Teleop29.7
End0.0
red by 11.8
4309
#22
18.72.2
18.020.2
Auto0.8
Teleop17.9
End0.0
Third
2944
#11
22.93.9
12.015.9
Auto0.0
Teleop22.9
End0.0
red by 11.1
4104
#26
11.82.2
5.07.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.9
End0.0