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Red110
448874.2
322317.3
214813.7
Blue73
451322.9
214721.2
472619.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8748010015011073

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.21.3
57.258.5
Auto0.3
Teleop73.8
End0.0
red by 51.3
4513
#19
22.90.8
21.822.7
Auto0.5
Teleop22.4
End0.0
Second
3223
#20
17.31.3
19.520.9
Auto0.1
Teleop17.2
End0.0
blue by 3.9
2147
#18
21.20.8
17.618.4
Auto0.0
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Third
2148
#17
13.71.3
7.28.5
Auto1.0
Teleop12.7
End0.0
blue by 5.6
4726
#16
19.30.8
16.717.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.5
End0.0