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Red97
412011.7
369317.7
448874.2
Blue76
371134.6
357512.4
412518.9
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1014501502009776

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.20.1
61.961.9
Auto0.3
Teleop73.8
End0.0
red by 39.6
34.61.0
32.633.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop34.7
End0.0
Second
3693
#25
17.70.1
22.122.2
Auto0.2
Teleop17.4
End0.0
blue by 1.2
4125
#27
18.91.0
14.615.6
Auto0.3
Teleop18.6
End0.0
Third
4120
#31
11.70.1
11.911.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 0.7
3575
#32
12.41.0
8.49.4
Auto0.2
Teleop12.2
End0.0