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Red36
292316.8
214813.7
430918.7
Blue33
37129.2
408220.9
410411.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5322040801001201403633

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4309
#22
18.70.7
22.621.8
Auto0.8
Teleop17.9
End0.0
blue by 2.2
4082
#13
20.90.3
16.917.2
Auto0.6
Teleop20.3
End0.0
Second
2923
#15
16.80.7
17.717.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.0
End0.0
red by 5.0
4104
#26
11.80.3
6.06.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.9
End0.0
Third
2148
#17
13.70.7
10.29.5
Auto1.0
Teleop12.7
End0.0
red by 4.5
3712
#30
9.20.3
4.85.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.3
End0.0