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Red77
408220.9
387620.2
381226.1
Blue152
406138.3
445037.9
214930.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5088010015020077152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3812
#12
26.11.0
23.324.3
Auto0.1
Teleop26.0
End0.0
blue by 12.2
38.33.3
26.930.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop38.4
End0.0
Second
4082
#13
20.91.0
17.218.1
Auto0.6
Teleop20.3
End0.0
blue by 17.0
37.93.3
31.434.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop38.0
End0.0
Third
3876
#14
20.21.0
17.018.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.3
End0.0
blue by 10.3
30.53.3
27.130.5
Auto0.8
Teleop29.7
End0.0