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Red22
322317.3
291018.8
451322.9
Blue37
378914.9
430918.7
357512.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6539020801001201401602237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4513
#19
22.92.0
24.222.1
Auto0.5
Teleop22.4
End0.0
red by 4.2
4309
#22
18.70.4
20.119.7
Auto0.8
Teleop17.9
End0.0
Second
2910
#24
18.82.0
19.717.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.2
End0.0
red by 4.0
3789
#29
14.90.4
13.713.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Third
3223
#20
17.32.0
19.117.1
Auto0.1
Teleop17.2
End0.0
red by 4.9
3575
#32
12.40.4
10.39.9
Auto0.2
Teleop12.2
End0.0