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Red61
322317.3
511125.2
508511.7
Blue48
294422.9
449511.1
291018.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4744203040506070806148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5111
#21
25.20.7
21.722.4
Auto0.6
Teleop24.5
End0.0
red by 2.3
2944
#11
22.90.1
19.119.2
Auto0.0
Teleop22.9
End0.0
Second
3223
#20
17.30.7
17.117.7
Auto0.1
Teleop17.2
End0.0
blue by 1.5
2910
#24
18.80.1
17.717.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.2
End0.0
Third
5085
#33
11.70.8
9.19.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.8
End0.0
red by 0.6
4495
#28
11.10.1
9.29.3
Auto0.2
Teleop10.9
End0.0